Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001714 0.001827 0.001943 0.002072 0.002212 0.002360 0.002526
2025-01-19 0.001536 0.001693 0.001861 0.002057 0.002279 0.002524 0.002814
2025-01-26 0.001370 0.001546 0.001743 0.001978 0.002253 0.002567 0.002954
2025-02-02 0.001316 0.001518 0.001747 0.002030 0.002371 0.002773 0.003284
2025-02-09 0.001265 0.001484 0.001741 0.002064 0.002464 0.002948 0.003583
2025-02-16 0.001248 0.001490 0.001778 0.002149 0.002620 0.003204 0.003996
2025-02-23 0.001194 0.001445 0.001748 0.002148 0.002665 0.003322 0.004233
2025-03-02 0.001117 0.001368 0.001675 0.002085 0.002626 0.003326 0.004318
2025-03-09 0.001058 0.001309 0.001621 0.002044 0.002611 0.003357 0.004438
2025-03-16 0.001020 0.001275 0.001597 0.002039 0.002643 0.003452 0.004648
2025-03-23 0.000977 0.001233 0.001560 0.002015 0.002646 0.003505 0.004801
2025-03-30 0.000945 0.001203 0.001537 0.002009 0.002671 0.003589 0.005000
2025-04-06 0.000897 0.001154 0.001491 0.001972 0.002660 0.003632 0.005158
2025-04-13 0.000860 0.001118 0.001460 0.001956 0.002678 0.003719 0.005389
2025-04-20 0.000805 0.001054 0.001389 0.001881 0.002606 0.003667 0.005403
2025-04-27 0.000796 0.001054 0.001405 0.001930 0.002718 0.003896 0.005873
2025-05-04 0.000782 0.001046 0.001410 0.001962 0.002805 0.004091 0.006303
2025-05-11 0.000783 0.001060 0.001446 0.002042 0.002969 0.004416 0.006974
2025-05-18 0.000761 0.001038 0.001429 0.002041 0.003006 0.004540 0.007311
2025-05-25 0.000723 0.000993 0.001377 0.001982 0.002949 0.004506 0.007365
2025-06-01 0.000693 0.000958 0.001338 0.001943 0.002922 0.004519 0.007503
2025-06-08 0.000675 0.000939 0.001322 0.001939 0.002950 0.004627 0.007822
2025-06-15 0.000652 0.000914 0.001296 0.001916 0.002946 0.004679 0.008039